I I Strelkov’s appeal in Russian
At present, I’m receiving much intel about preparations for an offensive by the junta armed forces and gangs of the so-called “National Guard” against Donetsk. Recently, the enemy sharply intensified activities of their recon groups, as well as increasing shellfire against our troops, civilian neighbourhoods, and industrial enterprises. They’ve used MRLs, heavy artillery, and Tochka-U tactical missiles. Civilian casualties during the truce are higher than they were in the period of active hostilities earlier this year. Two enemy strike forces are clearly readying for an offensive aimed at capturing the DNR capital from the northwest and southwest. A third force concentrated around Debaltsevo could strike at Shakhtyorsk or at Krasny Luch and Antratsit, in an attempt to cut off the DNR and LNR forces from the Russian border, to cut our forces off from all supplies. If all the forces concentrated by the enemy enter battle simultaneously and aggressively, they’d quickly defeat our numerically-small, poorly-armed, and poorly-led forces if we didn’t receive direct Russian assistance; not only would Novorossiya cease to exist, so would our people.
Based on the data available to me, as well as competent analysis of the intel by professional specialists, the enemy offensive will have the primary aim of capturing the Donetsk/Makeyevka conurbation, which is the largest and most important in the region. The Kiev junta will arrange a provocation before the attack… they’re very good at that. However, the attack must be swift and decisive, it must meet its goals quickly; otherwise, it won’t succeed. The Ukrainian side is well aware that if the operation bogs down, there’s a high likelihood of Russian intervention. The goal of the enemy is to grab Donetsk, or at least parts of it, before the Russian government can intervene. Then, they’d declare a unilateral ceasefire and appeal to the USA and EU with a statement of commitment to resolve the conflict by peaceful means.
The main thing is not to give the Russian government time to make adequate decisions. That is the only thing that’d deter a military response to the Ukrainian aggression, and it’d halt any action on the Ukrainian forces left in Mariupol. Simply put, Kiev decided to take a gamble… make a quick strike, then, “make peace”, but on their terms (because without Donetsk, or with it in contention, a sovereign Novorossiya is out of the question in principle). If they can carry out this plan, it’d be the largest military-political defeat of the Russian Federation since 1991. It’d cause serious internal political turmoil. Therefore, I appeal to the Russian government agencies regulating the oversight of the Minsk Agreement… attend to the plans of the Ukrainian bandits and inform the President about the likely consequences of their implementation for the Russian people of both the Donbass and Russia proper.
22 October 2014
Firstly, no operations can begin until the ground hardens. The muddy season in the spring and autumn has always brought major military operations to a halt. Even if the junta wanted to move, it couldn’t… the ground simply won’t support it. It halted the Wehrmacht in 1941… it halts the Galician Uniate hillbillies today. Besides this, friendly forces already know the axis of any offensive, just as the Red Army knew the thrust of the fascist attack in 1941. It smells as if a repeat of the Battle of Moscow is in the offing.
Here’s what compounds the situation for the junta Uniate terrorists… they’ve had FIVE Ministers of Defence since February… FIVE. The present Minister of Defence isn’t a soldier… he’s from the VV MVDU… a militarised cop with no training in large-scale operations. The only two figures who had any chance of pulling off this gamble were M V Koval and I I Tenyukh, but the babyish Anglo Americans didn’t like them, as they wouldn’t kiss the Anglo American toddlers’ asses. The Americans are backing Yatsenyuk, Turdchinov, and Avakov, as they’re the only figures under the Americans’ thumb… but they’re incompetent! A major military move is afoot… and the Americans left it in the hands of Galician hillbillies, oligarch greedsters, and diaspora carpetbaggers.
The time isn’t ripe for a junta counterpoise… if one were to follow the example left by the Civil War, the operation would wait for summer (as it did in 1919). However, the junta must move for two reasons. Firstly, living standards in Kiev are plummeting… that means that standards in the provinces are even lower. Secondly, the Americans want a quick result for their own domestic political purposes. The Triumvirate won’t resist American calls for an untimely offensive. Nevertheless, Poroshenko MUST win or face political oblivion. He does have a Swiss passport, y’ know…
The word is out. Surprise is out of the question. Now, everyone is waiting for the shoe to drop. I’d bet that the Anglo American smarkaczy will goad their puppets into a premature movement. If so… well, they can just kiss their ass goodbye. Mind you, it’d be bloody, all-too-bloody, before it all ended… but a December offensive would be a failure, and one in November would be a fiasco.
Pass the jug… it’s going to get FAR worse before it all comes to a result…