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Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned the West not to take unilateral action in Syria. His comments came after US President Barak Obama warned of what he termed “enormous consequences” if the Syrian government used chemical or biological weapons. Mr Lavrov met senior Syrian officials in Moscow, where he called for national reconciliation and an end to the fighting in the Middle Eastern country.
A stoned-faced President Obama issued a stark warning to the Syrians, “We’ve been very clear to the Assad régime, but also to other players on the ground, that a red-line for us is that we start seeing a whole bunch of chemical weapons moving around or being utilised. That would change my calculus”. This was President Obama’s strongest language on this issue to date. It came after Syria said last month that it possessed chemical and biological weapons. Damascus also said that it’d use them if foreign countries intervene in the conflict that’s raged for 17 months now. That seems to have prompted President Obama’s comments and an implicit threat of military action.
David Roberts of the Royal United Services Institute, a defence think-tank, noted, “It’s not even clear what weapons of mass destruction Syria possesses. As with a lot of things when it comes to Syria, especially at the moment, I think we need to be quite clear about things that we’re certain about, and things that we’re not certain about. In terms of certainty, I don’t know of any enormously-reliable sources that say they have chemical weapons, or a certain amount of biological weapons, or whatever it may be. I think they most likely do, but the specific quantities, where they are, and what they are… I don’t think there’s any accurate public information about that”.
Russian officials sought to distance their country from any talks of Syrian stockpiles, stating categorically, “Chemical weapons weren’t supplied to Syria either by the Russian state or by the USSR”. On Tuesday, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met a Syrian government delegation headed by Jamil Qadri, Vice Premier for Economic Affairs. The two men said they discussed chances of achieving national reconciliation in Syria. Lavrov added to the pressure on the Syrian government saying, “Damascus is moving in the right direction, but it’s not moving fast enough towards national reconciliation”. So, why is the Russian government continuing to defend its ally? Despite constant Western pressure, the Syrian government’s showing unwillingness to make moves towards talks with the rebels.
Professor Maksim Bratersky of Moscow’s Higher School of Economics says, “There’s genuine fear in the Russian foreign policy establishment that the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad could lead to violence across the Middle East. Russians believe that régime change, especially with foreign intervention in Syria, would lead to further problems in the region, possibly to a large-scale conflict. More and more specialists here are writing pieces in the newspapers about a new wave of religious wars in the Middle East”. However, for the Professor, keeping Bashar al-Assad in power isn’t the main Russian foreign policy aim, he said, “Moscow’s more worried about the principle of foreign interference in other countries. There were some circulations that Russia’s pursuing something really important and long-term in Syria. I don’t see that. Russia doesn’t have particular economic interests. Yes, there’s a refuelling point for Russian naval ships in Tartus… that’s not a big deal. From the strategic point of view, Syria isn’t very significant to Russian long-term interests. So, I think, in this particular case, Russia is mostly concerned with general issues… how world politics is organised, and what’s allowed, what isn’t allowed, because Russia’s future status depends very much on how this particular conflict is resolved”.
However, the Russian hope that we can avoid substantial foreign interference look increasingly slim and Syrian weapons of mass destruction might well be the trigger. Even aside from the American threats, other nations say they may get involved if circumstances change. For example, Israel said that if Syrian-backed Hezbollah used the situation to take control of the weapons, it would act immediately and with maximum force.
22 August 2012
Hywel Davies
Voice of Russia World Service
http://english.ruvr.ru/2012_08_22/Syrian-conflict-Russia-stands-firmly-against-foreign-intervention/
Lavrov Sez Moscow Would Block Any Initiative Calling for Force Against Iran
Tags: 2008 South Ossetia war, diplomacy, diplomatic relations, Iran, Israel, Lavrov, Libya, Likud, political commentary, politics, poster, Rossiyskaya Gazeta, Russia, Russian, Russian diplomacy, Sergei Lavrov, Sergey Lavrov, UN, UN Security Council, United Nations, United Nations Security Council, United States, USA
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On Tuesday, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that Russia would scuttle any UN Security Council resolution that could be interpreted as allowing military action against Iran. In an interview with Rossiiskaya Gazeta, he was asked whether Israel or the USA could start military operations in Iran, and he replied, “As the Libyan experience has shown, sadly, a military scenario is possible”. Therefore, Russia will exercise an extremely cautious approach at the UN Security Council. Lavrov noted, “We won’t allow any more such disingenuous interpretations. We’ll see to it that no resolution is open to interpretation like the one on Libya”. The West, led by the USA, suspects Iran of pursuing a secret nuclear weapons programme, but the Iran says it needs nuclear power solely for civilian uses. Lavrov observed that there’s “absolutely no evidence” that Iran decided to include a military component in its nuclear programme.
23 October 2012
RIA-Novosti
http://en.ria.ru/russia/20121023/176857678.html
Editor’s Note:
All of Wet Willy’s bellicose dribbling on Iran is sheer bullshit and moonshine. Lavrov appeared in public with Salehi a month ago, and that signalled a Russian guarantee to Iran. China’s behind that move, so, any military operation against Iran isn’t going to happen any time soon (or later). To put it bluntly, the USA is in “check” and it can’t move. All that it (and its amen corner in Israel’s Likud) can do is to make loud toothless growls. Israel lacks the means and the USA lacks the money and human military resources to attack a state such as Iran. It’s not Panama, Grenada, Iraq, Kosovo, or Lebanon. It’s a large and cohesive nation-state with one of the longest histories of any human society. The last time that the USA tried messing with a near-peer, it failed miserably (South Ossetia in ’08… Saakashvili was just Foggy Bottom’s stooge). Also, remember what the PLA did to the USA in Korea… the Chinese infantry wiped up the floor with the Americans (the only thing that ensured a stalemate there was American firepower compensated for lacklustre American boots on the ground… that’s still true today). The same would happen here… but worse.
Do you really want to vote for a liar on 6 November? Willy knows all that I’ve written is true, yet he still makes irresponsible and vacuous threats. Is that what you want in a president? President Obama isn’t perfect by a long shot, but he won’t attack Iran just to prove his machismo… Willy would. That should scare you…
BMD