Voices from Russia

Sunday, 23 August 2015

23 August 2015. Is There Going to Be a Provocation or Attack Tomorrow?

00 dead ukrainian soldiers, Krasny Partizan 01. 06.06.15

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There’s much buzz out there about a possible provocation by Uniate nationalist terrorists or by the SBU… or, one hears about a planned offensive by the junta forces. Firstly, let’s take the latter scenario. It could happen… but there’s been no probing, no reconnaissance, not even “recon by fire” (firing at a target to see what runs out). There’s been no observed movement of any junta forces across the FEBA* for patrols or for recce. Before an assault, competent and well-organised forces send out patrols to probe the enemy defences. Modern combined arms tactics centre on finding the weak point in the opponent’s defence, then, overburdening it with superior force (the so-called schwerpunkt). There’s been no recce, if there had been, the OSCE observers and Russian observers would’ve noticed it. Therefore, any junta attack would be blind… they’d be striking into the dark. No rational or competent commander would attack under such circumstances.

  • FEBA: Forward Edge of the Battle Area, one’s outermost line, as contrasted to the MLR (Main Line of Resistance)

As for the first scenario, there’s little observable, so, a sensible observer can only say that there’s no sign of such. However, word has got back to Donetsk. Is this intel righteous? Is it deliberate misinformation? Is it simply bullshit boasting by Galician Uniate nationalists? Here, the very irrationality of the Uniate nationalists makes them particularly dangerous. We’re not talking about Langley or SVR/FSB pros. They’d rationally tote up the risks… at most, they’d order a “sterile” op… nothing that one could pin on them. The op would go off with the maximum possible damage to the enemy (including damage to their image, which can be worse than material damage), with maybe the loss of some expendable assets. However, I’ve dealt with Uniate/schismo nationalists… they’re not wrapped overly-tightly (that’s an understatement). They could do something nuts… that’s why Basurin is so worried. He’s not worried about the SBU… the SBU wouldn’t do something foolhardy… but a Right Sector nutter would. This is the most dangerous option, and Eduard Aleksandrovich is rightly wary of it.

As for an offensive, the junta is running out of munitions, money, and troops. It may order an offensive to “use ‘em before it loses ‘em”. All in all, we’re talking about a highly unpredictable and volatile situation. NO ONE KNOWS WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON. NO ONE. That’s why it’s so dangerous. The most that I’ll commit to is that the buzz is much heavier than usual. Otherwise, you pays your money and you takes your choice. There’s no way that a rational person can figure this clusterfuck out. Your guess is as good as mine is… may God preserve us (I mean that quite literally)…

BMD

Basurin sez Possible Junta Attack Might Follow Two Probable Scenarios

00 E A Basurin 01. 04.06.15

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Today, Colonel E А Basurin, DNR Deputy Minister of Defence, told journalists that the Ukrainian side could launch an attack on DNR using two probable scenarios, saying, “The first scenario posits that Ukrainian special services would commit splashy terrorist acts in public places in their occupied territory on Ukrainian Independence Day, using these as provocations to hurl accusations at our leadership. Indeed, they could even use one of their senior political or military figures as a victim. The second scenario would entail them committing a terrorist action on major social infrastructure objects in the Republic, to cause many civilian casualties. For example, the aggressors could fire a Tochka-U tactical missile into the Donetsk city centre. The Ukrainian special services would blame it on our leadership, presenting it as a planned provocation on our part, to justify launching an offensive against the DNR. The Kiev authorities would want to use such provocations to provoke the DNR forces into giving an armed response, which would allow them to order their forces to go on the offensive. In any case, no matter what scenario the bloodthirsty Kiev régime selects, they’d use it to justify their aggression against the Donbass. A major disinformation campaign by major Western media outlets could augment a sharp intensification in military action by the Ukrainian side”.

23 August 2015

DAN Donetsk News Agency

http://dan-news.info/defence/vsu-imeyut-dva-scenariya-napadeniya-na-respubliki-minoborony.html

Insouciance Rules the West

00 Iranian take on the Statue of Liberty 230815

Iranian caricature of the Statue of Liberty

US Embassy in Iran

Tehran IRAN

late 20th century

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Refugees are overrunning Europe, fleeing both Washington and Israel’s hegemonic policies in the Middle East and North Africa, which bring a massive slaughter of civilians. The inflows are so heavy that European governments are squabbling amongst themselves about who is responsible for the refugees. Hungary is considering constructing a fence, like the USA and Israel, to keep out undesirables. Everywhere, the Western media carries reports deploring the influx of migrants; yet nowhere is there any reference to the cause of the problem. The European governments and their insouciant populations are themselves responsible for their immigrant problems. For 14 years, Europe supported Washington’s aggressive militarism that has murdered and dislocated millions of people that never lifted a finger against Washington.  The destruction of entire countries, such as Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and now Syria and Yemen, as well as the continuing American slaughter of Pakistani civilians with the full complicity of the corrupt and traitorous Pakistani government, produced a refugee problem that the moronic Europeans brought upon themselves.

Europe deserves the problem, but it isn’t enough punishment for their crimes against humanity in supporting Washington’s world hegemony. In the Western world, insouciance rules governments as well as people, and most likely everywhere else in the world, as well. One doesn’t know yet if Russia and China have any clearer grasp of the reality that confronts them. Lieutenant General Michael Flynn, Director of the US Defence Intelligence Agency until his retirement in August 2014, confirmed that the Obama administration disregarded his advice and made a wilful decision to support the jihadists who now make up ISIS. Here we have an American government so insouciant, with nothing but tunnel vision, empowering the various elements that make up Washington’s excuse for the “war on terror” and the destruction of several countries. Just as the idiot Europeans produced their own refugee problems, the idiot Americans produced their own terrorist problems.  It’s mindless… and there’s no end to it.

Consider the insanity of the Obama administration policy toward Russia. The total unawareness of Washington and the EU to the consequences of their aggression and false accusations toward Russia astonished Kissinger and Brzeziński, two of the left-wing’s most hated bogymen. Kissinger said that American foreign policy is in the hands of “ahistorical people” who don’t comprehend that “we shouldn’t engage in international conflicts if, at the beginning, we can’t describe an end”.  Kissinger criticised Washington and the EU for their misconception that the West could act in the Ukraine in ways inconsistent with Russian interests and receive a pass from the Russian government. As for the idiotic claim that Putin is responsible for the Ukrainian tragedy, Kissinger said, “It isn’t conceivable that Putin spent sixty billion Euros (4.72 trillion Roubles. 436 billion Renminbi. 4.52 trillion INR. 68.3 billion USD. 90 billion CAD. 93.5 billion AUD. 43.5 billion UK Pounds) on turning a summer resort into a Winter Olympic village to start a military crisis the week after a concluding Olympic ceremony that depicted Russia as a part of Western civilisation”. Don’t expect the low-grade morons who make up the Western media to notice anything as obvious as the meaning of Kissinger’s observation.

Brzeziński joined Kissinger in stating unequivocally, “We must reassure Russia that the Ukraine won’t ever become a NATO member”. Kissinger is correct that Americans and their leaders are ahistorical. The USA operates using a priori theories that justify American preconceptions and desires. This is a prescription for war, disaster, and the demise of humanity. Even American commentators whom one would consider intelligent are ahistorical. Writing in OpEdNews (18 August 2015), William Bike says that Ronald Reagan advocated the destruction of the USSR. Reagan did no such thing. Reagan was respectful of the Soviet leadership and worked with Gorbachyov to end the Cold War. Reagan never spoke about winning the Cold War, only about ending it. The USSR collapsed because hardline communists opposed to Gorbachyov’s policies arrested him and launched a coup. The coup failed, but it took down the Soviet government. Reagan had nothing to do with it and was no longer in office.

Some ahistorical Americans can’t tell the difference between war criminals such as Clinton, Bush, Cheney, and Obama, and people such as Jimmy Carter, who spent his life doing, and trying to do, good deeds. No sooner do we hear that the 90-year-old former president has cancer than Matt Peppe regales us on CounterPunch about Jimmy Carter’s Blood-Drenched Legacy (18 August 2015). Peppe describes Carter as just another hypocrite who professed human rights but had a “penchant for bloodshed”. What Peppe means is that Carter didn’t stop bloodshed initiated by foreigners abroad. In other words, Carter failed as a global policeman. Of course, Peppe’s criticism of Carter is a stale reiteration of the false neoconservative criticism of Carter. Peppe, like so many others, shows an astonishing ignorance of the constraints of existing policies institutionalised in government exercise over presidents. In American politics, interest groups are more powerful than the elected politicians are. Look around you. The federal agencies created to oversee the wellbeing of the national forests, public lands, air, and water are all staffed with executives from the very polluting and clear-cutting industries which the agencies are supposed to regulate. Read CounterPunch editor Jeffrey St Clair’s book, Born Under A Bad Sky, to understand that those who are supposed to be regulated are in fact doing the regulating, and in their interests. The public interest is nowhere in the picture.

Look away from the environment to economic policy. The same financial executives who caused the current financial crisis, which resulted in enormous continuing public subsidies to the private banking system, now into the eighth year, are the ones who run the US Treasury and Federal Reserve. Without a strong movement behind him, from whose ranks a president can staff an administration committed to major changes, the president is, in effect, a captive of the private interests who finance political campaigns. Reagan is the only president of our time who had even a semblance of a movement behind him, and Bush Establishment Republicans counterbalanced the “Reaganites” in his administration. During the 1930s, President Franklin D Roosevelt had a movement behind him consisting of New Dealers. Consequently, Roosevelt was able to achieve a number of overdue reforms, such as Social Security. Nevertheless, Roosevelt didn’t see himself as being in charge. In The Age of Acquiescence (2015), Steve Fraser quotes President Roosevelt as telling Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau at the end of 1934, “The people I’ve called the ‘money-changers in the Temple’ are still in absolute control. It’ll take many years and possibly several revolutions to eliminate them”. Eight decades later, as Nomi Prins has made clear in All the Presidents’ Bankers (2014), the money-changers are still in control. Nothing less than fire and sword can dislodge them. Yet, and it’ll forever be the case, America has commentators who really believe that a president can change things, but refuses to do so because he prefers the way that they are. Unless there’s a major disaster, such as the Great Depression, or a lesser challenge, such as stagflation for which solutions were scarce, a president without a movement is outgunned by powerful private interest groups, and sometimes even if he has a movement.

Private interests were empowered by the Republican Supreme Court’s decision that the purchase of the US government by corporate money is the constitutionally protected exercise of free speech. To be completely clear, the US Supreme Court ruled that organised interest groups have the right to control the US government. Under this Supreme Court ruling, how can the USA pretend to be a democracy? How can Washington justify its genocidal murders as “bringing democracy” to the decimated? Unless the world wakes up and realises that total evil has the reins in the West, humanity has no future.

20 August 2015

Paul Craig Roberts

Sputnik International

http://sputniknews.com/analysis/20150820/1025946828.html

23 August 2015. A Picture IS Worth a Thousand Words… Who’s Gonna Mess with Baba in Managua?

00 baba grandma in Managua Nicaraugua 230815

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On 19 August, there were protests in Managua. As a precaution, the cops closed down some of the streets. Well, here’s a baba coming home… and she’s NOT happy! Can you see the cops shifting from one foot to another as they put up with Baba’s demands?

“I’m sorry, Mama, but you can’t go down this street”…

“I live in the next block!”

“There’s an alternative route”…

“That’ll take 20 minutes, young man… I live five minutes away. Let me through!”

“Mama, I have orders”…

“And I have a cane and I know how to use it, too, young man. LET ME THROUGH”.

I think we all know how this particular contretemps ended… need I say it? We all KNOW what happened… after all, Baba IS Baba…

BMD

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