America is fully aware that the way to draw Russia into a conflict is to push forward towards Russia’s borders. In time, that’d force Russia to defend its right to exist, and if that happened, the Western powers wouldn’t know what hit them. American politicians in particular and European politicians in general are some of the most ignorant fools when the issue comes to anything outside their own borders. When it comes to Russia, it’s an enigma wrapped in a mystery… but only because, dear readers, no one ever bothered to try to understand Russians and the Russian worldview.
One important historical fact about Russia is that Russia is a unique civilisational bloc built upon defence, not offence. Historically, what this means is that Russia doesn’t start wars, or a series of wars (although it may strike first in a confrontation punctuated by a series of wars). In Russian history, Russian leaders since Russia’s baptism to Orthodoxy tried hard to avoid war with our neighbours, although just about every time this failed. In parallel, as much as we don’t like war, and Orthodoxy considers killing in combat a sin (we don’t have the Just War heresy), we’re very, very ,good at killing and destroying. A paradox, but its reality. This was so profound that in the summer of 1914, Tsar Nikolai II Aleksandrovich, when war was imminent, even halted mobilisation to try to defuse the situation one more time and talk the Austrians and Germans out of what would become the great tragedy of the early 20th century. The problems with modern, and in truth historical, Western politicos is that these guys are absolute fools with no understanding of the Russian psyche and are sure to cause World War 3, be it intentional or accidental. They’re projecting their psyche onto Russians. What this means is that they project their typical negative reinforcement mentality. Europe and the USA are societies built on constant aggression towards neighbours. They stave off aggression by building up a credible large counterforce of allies and blocs, which causes fear of defeat and de-escalation… your typical European balance of power approach.
Russia is a defensive empire, that is, Russians didn’t start most wars or series of wars, but enemies attacking or massing on Russia’s borders did so. After 800 years of almost nonstop aggression by Europeans, Russia doesn’t tolerate any enemy massing on her borders in what appears as a preparation for invasion or for foreigners creating large-scale basing areas, like an American US neocon-dominated Ukraine. Besides this, one notes the Russian policy of not abandoning Russians (ethnic or cultural) and allies, as opposed to Anglo society, where backstabbing allies when an opportunity to profit exists is a prized skill. As such, this is a spiral approach. Any escalation by foreigners would lead to a direct escalation by Russia and not de-escalation. Balance of power doesn’t work when Russia feels her survival threatened. Enough of an enemy escalation in the hope of forcing Russia to back off would generate the exact opposite effect in generating a first strike and total war, if Russia felt her life and existence threatened by an enemy.
Nothing can put Russian society into a siege mentality, to force the individual chaotic Russian nature to crystallise into one direction, like an effort to destroy a threat, to destroy any state that generates it. Russia’s army may be only 1 million, but the ready reserve is over 20 million with a follow capability of total mobilisation of over 40 more million, and maybe more if one starts counting female combatants and one should. Last time, children, old people, and women ran the factories. Now, with massive automation, even more of society is free to fight. Since Russian civilisation isn’t just land, but also a cultural ideology/philosophy, it generates absolute fanatical loyalty. This is a loyalty to a culture that allows the temporary surrender of land for time in the understanding that this would then be used, combined with nonstop partisan warfare, to grind down the invader and decimate him deep in the Russian interior, before marching on his cities and burning them to the ground in revenge.
Europe needs to find some German or Romanian veterans and ask them how much fun they had. Mamayev Kurgan, the highest hill in Volgograd (Stalingrad), a 1.5 square-kilometre area, had 35,000 identifiable bodies on it, half of them German, after 4 months of fighting. That’s more than both sides lost on the beaches of Normandy. In World War 2, on average, the Germans lost one soldier killed every 30 seconds, and 3-4 times as many wounded. The present NATO armies would be gone in 3-4 months. That’d amount to almost a million and a half dead and wounded. NATO would collapse. Greeks would refuse to fight. Serbs would be a war in the middle of all this. Cypriots would refuse to fight. Turkey would likely also refuse to die in a war they could only lose from. Bulgaria would probably revolt. Romania and Italy and Spain and Portugal wouldn’t long suffer heavy casualties before they overthrew their unpopular governments, and France would be more than likely to do so also. The USA couldn’t fully concentrate their army, as they’d have to release their grip on other sectors, which, in turn, would be blowing up. As for a second front, that is, if America was to invade the Russian Far East, well, outside of grabbing Sakhalin and Vladivostok and Khabarovsk, all of which would cost hundreds of thousands of corpses, an American invasion force would face a march of 3,000 kilometres (about 1,800 miles) to the nearest major oil fields and have to cover a land area larger than the continental USA, in wilderness terrain, with Russian partisans and the very cold Siberian winter (8 months long) filling the corpse lists daily. In other words, outside of a temporary land grab, nothing to fear. In addition, if things got bad, China would step in, knowing that they’re next on the hit list, and thus Siberia would be safe from American forces.
The reality, Americans, Germans, and foolish Poles, is that Russia will fight and its 152 million people will fight to the end, not because Putin is in power, or because we fear the enemy, but because our love of Russia, the very idea of Russia, will drive fanatical and well-trained resistance, armed with advanced weaponry. Russians will fight regardless of who’s in power, because we aren’t fighting for a leader, but for Christ and for Russia, the land He gave us as the Third Rome. What exactly would you fight for?
23 March 2015