The Ukraine Anticipates a Coup in Spring 2018… and Other Forecasts

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For the Ukraine, the past year was catastrophic in all respects… in the economy, in domestic politics, and internationally. The authorities in Kiev celebrate the USA’s commitment to supply Javelin ATGMs, but even they understand that their only use is to harm Russia. Most Ukrainian citizens can see that.

On the last day of the year, it’s customary to take stock and give forecasts for the future. Therefore, in my opinion, the simmering Maidan 2.0 won’t really amount to much of anything… it won’t affect things all that much, although it’ll bounce around throughout all of 2018. Remember how there was a tent city named after Yuliya Timoshenko in the centre of Kiev for months on end, full of homeless and tramps? Saakashvili’s Maidan will deteriorate in the same way. Closer to spring, I think that a coup is possible in the Ukraine, but Saakashvili won’t necessarily be its “tribune”.

Why can’t I name a leader of a possibly upcoming coup? The level of confidence in all Ukrainian politicians is already so abysmal that a “dark horse” could emerge in such a situation. Of course, the most controversial figure today who has a chance to oust Poroshenko is Yuliya Timoshenko. Actually, she has the highest rating [amongst politicians] in the country, but this doesn’t mean that the majority of citizens trust her. When society has a total distrust of all politicians, even a 5-6 percent approval rating looks like solid political capital. As they say, if you can’t catch a real fish, even a crawdad will do. In general, I don’t believe any of the political rankings that we have in the country today. Everything happens willy-nilly, political factions attempt this and that, you can try to redraw the political map as you will, you only need support from 3-4 percent of the people, thereby lessening the role of “leading” politicians. Right now, the Americans don’t have any reliable figure that they can use to pursue their war. They know Yuliya Timoshenko well; they have much that they could use to influence her, including threats of criminal prosecution. However, they know that Timoshenko is a cunning politician, so it’s unlikely they’d bet on her. As for the hype that the Americans would supposedly back a new leader like Vakarchuk… I don’t believe it.

Under such conditions, new leaders could appear in the country in 2018. However, unfortunately, those who could really pull the country out of its crisis have either left or they’ve simply withdrawn from politics; they don’t want to take part in the current insanity. I’m sure that former Prime Minister Nikolai Azarov could lead the country. Nevertheless, even if the people wanted him back, the present authorities wouldn’t let him return, even though he’s a politician who has stature generally, not only in the Ukraine. He’s considered trustworthy not only in the Ukraine, but also in Russia and in the West. He’s the best “compromise” figure; therefore, he’d be the most effective candidate. In these circumstances, to keep his position, Poroshenko could try to heat up the war in the Donbas to “unify an unbroken nation”. Nonetheless, the Ukraine would lose any military action, as it did in 2014. This’d lead to even greater squabbles between the factions of Poroshenko, Avakov, Turchinov, and others. I think that it’s a real danger that the Americans would try to export such political instability to Russia. Navalny and Sobchak are nothing more than reiterations of [the Americans’] Ukrainian machinations.

Finally, even in this holiday season, I’d like you to remember that somewhere, now, in the Donbass, many people, including kids and old people, huddle in their cellars, hiding from aggressor shellfire. Don’t forget that some guys, defenders of the Donbass, will wake up today, but they won’t live to see tomorrow, as they’d give their lives for Freedom and Truth in the fight against Evil! I don’t censure anyone for being happy and celebrating the holidays… I just ask you, my friends, not to forget that that’s there a war going on. Therefore, my main wish for next year is peace! I want peace in the Donbass, peace in the Ukraine, and peace in Russia! In 2019, there shouldn’t be any soldiers in the trenches or ordinary civilians hiding in basements!

Aleksei Zhuravko

31 December 2017

Antifashist

http://antifashist.com/item/ukrainu-zhdet-perevorot-k-vesne-2018-goda-i-drugie-prognozy.html

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29 March 2015. A Translated Russian Demot… Yuliya vs Poklonskaya

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28 October 2014. The Election Didn’t Deliver a Legit Government… Most of the Real People Boycotted It

Here is the electoral map from the last real election… this pattern held for 20 years… the only reason that the present winners won was that many voters stayed home and the Uniate junta banned two opposition parties… Great Democracy!

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The expected Uniate offensive hasn’t materialised yet. My contacts do NOT trust this lull. Mostly, I’ve heard that the Uniate junta is in disarray, as the Rabbit has turned on his former benefactor, Yuliya the Landshark. Is it on American orders? Yatsenyuk is stupid if he thinks that he can outsmart Yuliya Vladimirovna… she’s not a survivor for nothing, and he forgets that the only way that he got close to power was as her bagman. Some tell me that the Rabbit, Turdchinov, and Avakov (the Triumvirate) want to freeze out Yuliya completely from a “national unity” government. The present election actually showed the weakness of the Uniate junta… only 51 percent of the eligible voters showed up (the last real Rada election had a 58 percent turnout)… with higher numbers in the Lvovshchina and Kiev, but lower numbers elsewhere. One could say that Uniates, schismatical Orthodox, and Prods came out in greater than usual percentages, whilst the normal Orthodox population showed a lower rate of participation. Besides this, since the KPU and Regions were off the ballot, many of their supporters simply stayed away. To put it another way, a vast majority of minority elements showed up, whilst a majority of the majority refused to take part.

In short, this was a slippery corrupt election that even Cook County and Hudson County would repudiate. When you factor in the widespread ballot-stuffing… well, you can see where I’m going. The junta Rada is now LESS legit than it was. Look for the situation to become unstable and fairly quickly… Darlin’ Yuliya won’t appreciate being shunted to the side by the likes of the Triumvirate (the Rabbit’s sister DOES live in the USA and Langley could use her as a pawn). It won’t be boring…

BMD

Poroshenko More Loser than Winner in Rada Horse-Race

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On Sunday, Oleg Ignatov, a deputy director general of the Russian Centre for Political Situational Analysis, said that first exit poll results after the early parliamentary elections in the Ukraine show that junta strongman P A Poroshenko is more a loser than a winner. Ignatov said, “If final results are close to those of the exit polls, the Ukrainian President will have little chance to form a coalition based on his party. I’d remind you that, towards the end of the campaign, Poroshenko claimed that he’d be able to form a pro-presidential coalition in the Verkhovnaya Rada and finally have a person from his team, probably Deputy Prime Minister V В Groisman, as Prime Minister. However, in the end, we see that the People’s Front of A V Turchinov and A P Yatsenyuk won more votes than expected. Therefore, it looks like Yatsenyuk will continue as prime minister, and conduct a policy independent from the president. Whereas, until now, Poroshenko favoured a less aggressive format towards relations with Russia and [Novorossiya], now, it’d be next to impossible for him, for he’d have to reckon with advocates of a harsher policy, the more so as other pro-war parties, such as Samopomoshch, the Radical Party, and Svoboda, won much support”.

Earlier Sunday, A K Pushkov, the chairman of the international committee of the RF Gosduma, wrote on his Twitter account, “It’s already clear that the election won’t trigger any changes in the power structures, but the authorities can’t do anything new… they have no financial resources. The Ukraine doesn’t have European integration ahead, but a complete loss of independence for the pittance that the USA and the EU would throw to it. The Ukraine’s future is miserable”.

According to results from national and international exit polls and a poll conducted by Inter TV, the Poroshenko Bloc won 22-23 percent of the vote. The People’s Front of Yatsenyuk and Turdchinov was next with 19.7-21.8 percent. Following were Samopomoshch (Self-Reliance) of Lvov Mayor A I Sadovy (11-14.2 percent), Yu A Boiko‘s Opposition Bloc (7/8-9.9 percent), O V Lyashko‘s Radical Party (about 6.5 percent), O Ya Tyagnibok‘s Svoboda (5.8-6.3 percent), and Yu V Timoshenko‘s Fatherland Front (5.6 percent). Other parties, including the radical Right Sector and the KPU, failed to overcome the five-percent barrier to win seats in the Rada.

26 October 2014

ITAR-TASS

http://en.itar-tass.com/world/756615

Editor:

Correspondents told me that this election was as crooked as any local election held in the USA! Firstly, many ballots lacked communist candidates. Secondly, in many places away from the prying eyes of the Western media, the marking of ballots took place in public, so, there was crass voter coercion. Thirdly, there was no balloting in the DNR and LNR… even in most places under Uniate junta occupation. Regions wasn’t even on the ballot due to violence from Uniate nationalist nutters. Lastly, everyone believes that massive ballot-stuffing took place. In short, this was GIGO all round… but the USA and EU will brandish it as their justification for supporting the fascist neo-Nazi Uniate junta, just as they support the neo-Nazi racists in the Baltic States.

By the way… Clan Balogh didn’t help Poroshenko as ballot-box-stuffers and voter intimidators this time around. Could that be why Poroshenko did so “poorly?” Perspirin’ minds wanna know…

One last thing… the USA is putting extreme pressure on the Magyars. Are they getting to bale out of the US-led sanctions charade? It’s a possibility…

BMD