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After a fat pope, a skinny pope.
Old Italian folk-saying
This old Roman saying is true more often than not. That is, a certain “type” of pope is very often followed by someone who’s his temperamental opposite. Ergo, if one were to look at the last Pope of Rome, one had to conclude that he was:
- An intellectual and scholar
- A curial insider
- A man with not much pastoral background
- A theologian
- A theoretician
If the folk-wisdom is true, then, the cardinals may very well choose someone who is:
- A curial outsider
- A man of considerable pastoral background
- A pragmatist
- Someone able to get on well with those of opposite intellectual and political tendencies
I can guarantee that none of the American cardinals will get the nod. All of them have compromised themselves with their support of the Republican Party’s anti-life programme, something that the American cardinals don’t see because of the GOP’s anti-abortion plank. However, rest assured that the European majority of the cardinal-electors do see it… no American cardinal will win election as they’re seen as intransigent and tied up with the American Establishment (Dolan’s the worst one… but O’Malley’s almost as bad). Don’t forget, Benedict made universal access to state-provided healthcare a tenet of Catholic social teaching. The American bishops’ caterwauling over the ACA (which gave aid and comfort to godless rightwingers) showed their disconnect with the Church of Rome at large.
I believe that a non-European may very well get the nod. Turkson and Scherer look good… The Italians are going to push hard for one of their own at first… then, reality will sink in. Remember, no American can win because of their incestuous entanglement with American political elements intent on global hegemony. In 1978, the conclave selected Karol Wojtyła because the Curia was convinced that the Soviet bloc was the wave of the future, and that the Catholic Church had best have someone with experience of working with communists at the helm. Today, many curial insiders see the main thrust of the Church of Rome as combating sectarian proselytism in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. That’s why I named the two men that I did.
The Curia sees the future in Latin America and Africa. That’s how I read the tealeaves. However, all’s up for grabs if the conclave goes beyond three days. I don’t think that it’ll take that long… but one never does know…
BMD
Voices from Russia 
Hopes for the New Pope
Tags: Barack Obama, Basilica di Santa Maria Maggiore, Catholic Church, Christian, Christianity, Estonia, EU, European Union, Italy, Jorge Bergoglio, Poland, political commentary, politics, Pope, Pope Francis, Pope Francis I, Pope Francisco, Pope of Rome, President of Georgia, President of Russia, President of the United States, Religion, Religion and Spirituality, Rome, Sistine Chapel, Sweden, United States, US President, USA, Vatican, Vatican City, Vladimir Putin
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As I stood on St Peter’s Square awaiting the famous smoke from the Sistine Chapel chimney, I felt an immense sense of satisfaction. Daily, journalists, political analysts, and the public bemoan a lack of leadership in the world. On the other hand, here, here was a definitive opportunity to see a new leader in the making. After all, irrespective of who occupies the Holy See, the papacy has a potential for leadership that’s probably only rivalled by the potential of the office of the US President.
Already, Pope Francisco shows that he’s keen to give the Catholic Church a new sense of itself. His gestures (like shunning an armoured limousine with a bodyguard and going to pray at the Basilica di Santa Maria Maggiore on short notice) demonstrate that “leading by example” isn’t just an empty concept for the new pontiff. I have a feeling that he’ll be a respected global figure, both as a spiritual leader and statesman. Actually, if one looks around the world, there are plenty of leaders. Although I didn’t approve of his policies, the late Venezuelan President Hugo Rafael Chávez Frías was one. Aung San Suu Kyi in Burma is yet another example of charisma, ideas, and perseverance fusing to create a real leader. Vladimir Putin and Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili, despite their bitter hatred of each other and no matter what one thinks of their policies, have already left their mark on history.
Curiously enough, the emergence of major political personalities in the EU is an increasingly-rare occasion. European leaders aren’t almost universally dull and uncharismatic, but they’re also mostly mediocre intellectually. A few bright exceptions, like the clever and ironic Toomas Hendrik Ilves, the President of Estonia, Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs Radosław Tomasz Sikorski, and Sweden’s long-serving Minister of Foreign Affairs (and former Premier) Nils Daniel Carl Bildt are the only exceptions I could find. They combine sharp intellect, willingness to challenge dated truisms, and a public presence. The EU is the only area of the world where these characteristics frequently disqualify a person from achieving major public office. What started as a European post-war yearning to avoid future conflict morphed into complacency and a fear of healthy debate. Don’t mention religion (except if it’s the infamous “religion of peace” of 9/11 fame), don’t mention national history, don’t mention values… unless it’s the prescribed medley of secularist dogmas on permanent offer from Brussels… and you can count on great advancement as a political leader in the EU’s councils of the holy … er, sorry, just councils.
Hence, the result… if you’re looking for fresh thinking in Europe, you’re left with either the Front National and its imitators, the “New Left”, or clowns like Beppe Grillo (but then, who said they’re actually thinking anything?) Actually, Grillo’s astonishingly-high standing is sharp and dark testimony to European disillusionment with traditional politics and their inability to cope with it. It’s no wonder the EU can’t find its way out of the current crisis… the politics of consensus evolved into a politics of paralysis. I don’t think highly of Barack Obama’s policies and I don’t find him a very effective leader, but those European politicians who pledge their love to him look small compared to the US President. In contrast, here comes Pope Francisco, who may well try to shake up Europe’s lethargic Catholics into remembering that they are Christians… and Catholics… after all. I wish him success, but I’m not very certain that he’ll succeed in the Old World. For leadership and vision these days, it’s more logical to look to Brazil, rather than to Brussels.
18 March 2013
Konstantin von Eggert
RIA-Novosti
http://en.rian.ru/columnists/20130318/180088088/Due-West-Hopes-for-the-New-Pope.html