Voices from Russia

Monday, 23 June 2014

23 June 2014. Is Fester Going to Georgia to Smooth the Way for Fatso to Jump to the Georgian Church?

00 Patriarch Ilie of Georgia. 20.01.13

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Joseph Fester may be going to Georgia to smooth the way for Fatso to jump to the Georgians. ROCOR isn’t an independent actor anymore… it’s an autonomous dependency of the MP. Therefore, it needs to receive the Centre’s blessing to do things like accept a bishop from another Orthodox body. Now, if you remember the dippy nuns that Fatso brought over from Greece, they got in big-time trouble with both the OCA and the ROCOR for refusing to ditch a goofball “elder”. Note well that the Church of Georgia picked them up… the Georgians didn’t have parishes here until Saakashvili’s time. I think that some in the Georgian Church are Langley’s dogsbodies, for the same reason that ROCOR was during the Cold War… ideological agreement coupled with a penury that doesn’t allow them to be picky about their patrons. I think that Fatso thinks that ROCOR is gladhanding him. Ergo, it’s logical to think that Fester is going to Tbilisi to advocate for Paffso. If the Georgians take him in, then, he’d go and live with his dippy nuns. He’d become the centre of an odd-lot set of konvertsy led by Freddie M-G and Terrence Mattingly. That would be a nuisance to both ROCOR at large and Potapov in particular, so, I think that Paffso’s trying to pull a fast one on Hilarion Kapral. Again, he’s still living on OCA property, so, they might be moving to evict him… which would explain his impatience to find a “patron”.

Whatever the cause, I believe that Fatso is involved with this move of Fester’s. To me, it seems that he’s trying to sandbag his erstwhile hosts and friends, but that’s the way this scumbag operates. Look at how he treated the OCA Holy Synod and how he threatened to sue them (most intel has it that he’s reiterated that threat)… I rest my case. I’d tell Hilarion Kapral to have a care with this jabronie… look at how he tag-teamed with Ray Velencia to put Fr Mike Regan through hell. If he did it once, he’d do it again. Don’t say that you weren’t warned…

BMD

Wednesday, 5 March 2014

5 March 2014. They Called a War and No One Came… What This Means for the Junta

00 T-64 tanks. Ukrainian Army. 02.02.14

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Things have quieted down a bit from the weekend. Mind you, things are still murky (indeed, murkier than they were on Friday)… the amount of reliable news is miniscule. However, there are important takeaways from the weekend events.

The most important one is that the junta decreed general mobilisation… and no one showed up (at most, 2 percent of those called responded… hardly a patriotic groundswell). This had its analogue in the 2008 South Ossetia conflict (it wasn’t “hot” enough for a fully-fledged war… although the bloodletting was real enough). If you recall, the Georgian forces simply melted away via desertion after Russia sent in elements of two mechanised divisions and two airborne divisions. So many Georgian soldiers deserted that the Saakashvili junta couldn’t put them on trial. The whole army simply melted away… in terrain that favours the defence and where the Russian forces had a relatively long and exposed LOC run over a few roads in mountainous country. In short, the Georgians held all the cards, militarily speaking, but they all took French leave… leaving the road to Tbilisi open (note well that the Russians contented themselves with looting the American-equipped base at Gori and weren’t tempted to expand the conflict any further).

In like manner, the response to the general mobilisation order showed the abject powerlessness of the junta. Not only did their orders fail to stir a response… they couldn’t “make them stick”. No one’s been arrested… no one! The junta called out the country… the country chose to watch the hockey game, instead. This, more than anything else, shows the lack of popular support for the junta. This means that if it orders general mobilisation again, the people’s response could be just as tepid, if not more so. No one wants to die to make the Ukraine safe for Yuliya, her crooked cronies, and the crapitalist oligarchs. I’d also point up that the “reservists” had no refresher training, lacked heavy weapons and equipment, and there were no organised units to draft them into. That is, they’d lack all cohesion as formed military bodies, and would simply break in combat. It was a PR move… a fact not lost on the Russians (nor was it lost on professional military circles in the West, either… they’re not anxious to get involved with such losers).

Furthermore, when the junta called out active units, it had a mixed reaction… the most interesting point is that some units actually went over to the patriotic elements opposing the junta. For instance, the Ukrainian Navy is, actually, dead. It hoisted the St Andrew banner and sits in Russian-controlled ports. The only way that the junta installed governors in some places was to call out Svoboda toughs and oligarch private guards. The druzhinniki held back (on Putin‘s express orders, I’m told). The new oligarch governors will piss off the populace (which is what the Russians expect… and what they’ll get, by the way). When Russian forces do intervene (and they shall, trust me), the people will greet them with open arms.

Why did Russia hold back? Simply put, it checkmated the junta in the Crimea. The popular referendum shall go forward, at an unspecified earlier date. When that happens, the ARK government will call on Russian protection, which Russia will give. The junta will fulminate and order mobilisation again… less than nothing will happen again. The junta failed to exert authority this weekend… that was Strike One. The junta failed to re-establish authority over the Crimea… that was Strike Two. When the junta orders general mobilisation again and fails again… that’s STRIKE THREE… YER OUT!

That’s not the end of it. The disbanding of the Berkut leaves the junta without a reliable anti-coup force. This means that they’d have to rely on Svoboda toughs and oligarch bands. When one realises that the upper leadership of the MVDU and MChSU both underwent a purge, it means that the junta has NO reliable security forces whatsoever, which increases the chances of them calling out the army. If they called out the army, it’d be a farcical replay of August 1991 in Moscow. However, don’t be smug. Remember Roland Freisler and the Volksgerichtshof… just because they’re not long for this world doesn’t mean that they can’t create a great deal of mayhem in the time left to them. The mob won’t go home quietly… it has to be dispersed by force… and the junta won’t do that because it can’t. The junta’s “legitimacy” stems from that mob… if it were to disown it, it’d cut its own throat.

Here’s the cherry on the sundae… the junta hasn’t had any regular revenue collections… the cupboard’s bare. The Ukrainian government needs 20 billion USD (720 billion Roubles. 22.1 CAD. 22.3 billion AUD. 14.6 billion Euros. 12 billion UK Pounds) a year to meet its bills… and the 1 billion USD (36 billion Roubles. 1.1 billion CAD. 1.12 billion AUD. 728 million Euros. 598 million UK Pounds) offered by the USA isn’t even enough for one month’s operations. In short, the junta will have to find the money somewhere… either through increased shaking down of the populace or a Weimar-style inflation. Actually, I think that the worst option will happen… “austerity”, increased tax exactions, and hyperinflation. That’d doom the junta, but it has no other choice… save surrender now, which it isn’t going to do. The junta isn’t going to change its spots. They’re going to remain thieves and boodlers until they go down. The junta isn’t long for this world… but it’ll be remembered. It’ll be one of the nastiest episodes in Russian history. God do watch over the people of Little Russia… they’re going to need it.

BMD

 

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Thursday, 5 December 2013

Georgian Orthodox Church Weighs in Local Self-Governance Reform Debate

05j-the-truth-about-georgia

Nino Burdzhanadze (1964- ), one of the “white hats” in Georgian politics.

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On Wednesday, Patriarch Ilia Ghudushauri-Shiolashvili, First Hierarch of the Georgian Apostolic Autocephalous Orthodox Church, said that a government-proposed draft law on local self-governance reform is a “threat” because it would cause Georgia’s “disintegration” and he vowed to prevent the bill’s passage. The bill, based on a concept first unveiled by the government more than nine months ago, envisages promoting more engagement of citizens in decision-making on the local level. It also introduced direct election of mayors of at least seventeen towns (now, only Tbilisi’s mayor is elected directly), as well as heads of all municipalities; the reform is expected to lead into division of existing municipalities and increasing their number from the current 69 to about 120.

Patriarch Ilia II said during a sermon in the Svetitskhoveli Cathedral in Mtskheta outside Tbilisi, “The Parliament and the government are discussing local self-governance law. This is rather difficult issue. If implemented, it’d lead to Georgia’s disintegration. We’d never tolerate it and we’ll do everything possible in order not to have it implemented. Georgia was and will be a united nation, a single state, and we should remember that when the government was strong, the regions [united] around it, the country was strong too. We believe that every district [raioni or municipality] should have direct links to the [central] government. The government should know the problems existing in each and every district; we need no intermediate link for that purpose; the [central] government should consider the hardships facing each district, it should study what each district needs, and the government itself should be trying to address problems existing in districts. For some reasons, some are trying to pass this law on the local self-governance hastily. I think, the Church thinks, that we should discuss it with the people; the people should consider whether it’s acceptable and whether it’s good for Georgia. Therefore, we shouldn’t hurry… I’d like to respectfully ask our parliament and government to take into consideration this threat and not to hurry with adoption of this [bill on local self-governance]”.

The Patriarch’s remarks both in respect of “threat of disintegration” and “attempts to hastily” adopt the bill echoed allegations voiced recently by some non-parliamentary opposition parties. On Wednesday, Giorgi Akhvlediani of the Christian-Democratic Movement said, “This artificial division [of municipalities], which the government calls decentralisation, may create serious problems in terms of separatism”. On Wednesday, before the Patriarch’s sermon, responding to this criticism of the draft by the opposition, parliament speaker Davit Usupashvili said, “The notion that the self-governance somehow poses a threat to the integrity of the country is complete nonsense. Did the absence of decentralisation and self-governance prevent separatism in Abkhazia and Tskhinvali? It’s a mistaken notion that self-governance can incite separatism. Lack of rights incites separatism”. Commenting on the Patriarch’s remarks, Zviad Dzidziguri of the Conservative Party, a lawmaker from the Georgian Dream parliamentary majority group, said, “There’s no threat whatsoever of country’s disintegration in this draft [law on local self-governance]. I think that the Patriarchate simply lacks information [about the draft law]. The Patriarchate needs to be more informed and we’ll do that”.

4 December 2013

Civil Georgia

http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=26760

NB:

Civil Georgia receives USAID funding, that means that it takes Langley‘s shilling, so, take anything on it with caution. It’s probably “white propaganda“.

BMD

 

Friday, 24 May 2013

Patriarch Ilia Regrets Clergy’s Ill-Advised Actions in 17 May Events

georgian-church-in-moscow

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On Wednesday, Catholicos-Patriarch Ilia Ghudushauri-Shiolashvili, the First Hierarch of the Georgian Orthodox Church, said that Orthodox priests acted in an ill-advised manner during the developments on 17 May in downtown Tbilisi when a crowd led by Orthodox clergy disrupted an attempted anti-homophobia rally. Patriarch Ilia said at Holy Trinity Cathedral in Tbilisi, “What happened on 17 May is very regrettable. The ideas that [gay rights activists] wanted to propagate here are completely unacceptable in Georgia. However, it’s also very regrettable that Georgian clergy acted in an ill-advised manner, and I want to urge everyone to remain calm”.

Later that same day, the Georgian Patriarchate released a written statement expressing “regret” over the 17 May developments, saying that the Church would take “appropriate measure” against those clerics involved in the violence. The statement said that an attempt to hold a gay rights rally in downtown Tbilisi “was of provocative nature. In a country where the absolute majority of the population follows Christianity and other traditional religions, such rallies are perceived by the population as propaganda of homosexuality, which causes their fair protest”.

It said that venue of the intended rally, outside the former parliamentary building on Tbilisi’s main thoroughfare, Rustaveli Avenue, was “an additional irritating and provocative factor”. It described the venue as having “strong emotional ties” to Georgia’s “historical memory and traditions”. The statement went on to say, “The country can’t tolerate legalisation of a sin. The Church loves human beings and because of this love, it fights against sin for the salvation of souls. Despite that, there’s no excuse for violence. We unequivocally distance ourselves from the aggressive actions from the part of demonstrators, which weren’t within either legal or religious norms. It’s regrettable that clerics were involved in these processes. These separate individuals damaged the entire Church. The Patriarchate will examine their actions and we’ll take appropriate measures. It should also be noted that if were not for the efforts of large part of clergy and brave actions of the police, consequences would have been much more severe”.

23 May 2013

Civil Georgia

http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=26099

Editor’s Note:

Let’s keep it simple. Patriarch Ilia is going to lower the boom on the clerics nicked by the coppers. Then, he’ll say, “See, we disciplined these jabronies, there’s no need for you to act”. Trust me, that’s going to be the result. The Church CONDEMNS violence, even when it’s supposedly for a “good cause”, especially, when clerics egg people on to such acts. The Church paid bitterly for tolerating the Black Hundreds… I do daresay that it learned its lessons. The konvertsy can be quiet…  Patriarch Ilia’s gonna act, for charges have been laid against at least two of the clerics. We’re in Christ‘s Church, NOT the Church of the Grand Inquisitor.

BMD

 

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